Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s recent decision to depart from mainstream Democratic views could potentially push the 2024 spoiler effect to the left. With RFK Jr. voicing criticism of the COVID-19 vaccine and expressing support for populist policies, he could draw voters away from the Democratic party. This could lead to a spoiler effect in the 2024 presidential election, where votes are taken away from the Democratic candidate in favour of RFK Jr., thereby benefiting the Republican nominee.
However, it should be noted that this is merely a conjecture, the actual impact would heavily depend on how the political dynamics unfold in the next three years. Factors such as the popularity of RFK Jr., the standing of the Democratic party and its candidate, as well as the political climate closer to the time would all play a crucial role.
